BRRRR Deal Modeler
BRRRR (Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat) strategy math with honest numbers. Models 5 scenarios side-by-side: target case + rehab over (+25%) + appraisal light (-8%) + refi LTV constrained (70%) + combined failure (all three). Capital recovered, capital stuck, post-refi DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio) per scenario. Cited to Fannie Mae Selling Guide §B6 (multifamily underwriting) + §B4-1 (appraisal requirements).
Skip. The target case itself doesn't cash-flow. Re-underwrite or walk away — this is not a BRRRR deal at these inputs.
| Scenario | All-in basis | Cash recovered | Capital stuck | DSCR | Cash-on-cash on stuck | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Target | $182,607 | $83,750 | -$1,143 | 0.85× | ∞ | FAIL |
| Rehab over (+25%) | $194,107 | $83,750 | $10,357 | 0.85× | -34.1% | FAIL |
| Appraisal light (-8%) | $182,607 | $69,050 | $13,557 | 0.92× | -16.7% | FAIL |
| Refi LTV constrained (70%) | $182,607 | $71,500 | $11,107 | 0.91× | -22.3% | FAIL |
| Combined (all three) | $194,107 | $57,780 | $36,327 | 0.99× | -3.6% | FAIL |
View the TypeScript implementation on GitHub: packages/calc/src/brrrr-deal-modeler.ts · view tests
What this means
BRRRR-on-paper rarely matches BRRRR-on-real-timelines. The YouTube version pulls all your capital back out and lets you do the next deal with the same money. The honest version, on real appraisal outcomes and lender LTV constraints, leaves some of your capital in most deals — and is still defensible IF the post-refi cash flow gives you a reasonable return on the stuck capital.
Three failure modes happen on most projects: rehab runs over, appraisal comes in light, refi LTV gets constrained. The 5- scenario layout shows whether the deal still works when these slip — together. A defensible BRRRR deal works in all 5 scenarios. One that only works in the target case is leveraged speculation, not a strategy.
Worked example
$120K purchase + $40K rehab × 1.15 contingency + $100K hard money at 10% / 2 points + 8-month hold at $430/month carry + $250K projected ARV at 75% refi LTV / 7.5% / 30y / 2% closing + $24K annual rent at 7% vacancy + $9K opex + 5% CapEx produces target case: $187,500 refi loan, ~$84K cash recovered, ~$5K stuck, post-refi DSCR ~1.10. Combined-failure case: rehab +25% + ARV -8% + LTV constrained to 70% → ~$30K stuck, DSCR ~0.95 (under-water on debt service). Verdict: skip — the deal works on paper but doesn't survive the timeline + appraisal + LTV slip together. A real BRRRR deal works in all 5 scenarios.
Frequently asked questions
The information and tools on this website are for general educational purposes only and do not constitute financial, investment, legal, or tax advice. Consult a licensed professional for decisions specific to your situation.